On December 6, 2021, a bilateral meeting was held in the hybrid formula between the CAKE/KOBIZE/ IOŚ-PIB and International Green Technologies and Investment Projects Center NJSC (IGTIPC), which is the operator of the State Register of carbon units of the Republic of Kazakhstan. The meeting took the form of a seminar and concerned the functioning of emission trading systems in the EU and Kazakhstan.
The Polish side presented the experience related to the implementation and operation of the emission allowance trading system, in particular in the field of monitoring, reporting and verification, i.e. elements that are the first necessary to be implemented in the newly created systems. Moreover CAKE represenattives presented research projects in which IOŚ-PIB/KOBiZE are currently participating, i.e. LIFE Climate CAKE PL, LIFE VIIEW 2050 and ECEMF. Part of the discussion concerned the draft of new EU regulations, i.e. “Fit for 55%” package, including in particular the issue of the carbon border tax (CBAM, Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism), the possible implementation of which will impact directly into the functioning of the emissions trading system in Kazakhstan .
An important point of the meeting was the signing of a Memorandum between IOŚ-PIB/KOBiZE and IGTIPC aimed at developing Polish-Kazakh cooperation in the area of emission trading systems. On behalf of IOŚ-PIB, the document was signed by Mrs Monika Sekuła, Deputy Manager of KOBiZE, IOŚ-PIB, while the representative of the Kazakh side visiting Warsaw was Mr Daniyar Yerenchinov, Chairman of the Board of Directors of IGTIPC.
On the 24th and 25 th of November 2021 CAKE/KOBiZE/ IOŚ-PIB team has a chance to participate in a conference organized by the EC Competence Centre on Modelling (CC-MOD) entitled “2021 EU Conference on modelling for policy support: collaborating across disciplines to tackle key policy challenges”. During the two days of the conference the representatives of CAKE participated actively in the two panles, where they presented some results of the work made out at the LIFE Climate CAKE PL project.
On the 24 th November 2021 during the Session 4: Modelling complex systems for policy, Maciej Pyrka, LIFE Climate CAKE PL – CGE modelling expert presented a presenation entitled “Effects of the Border Tax Adjustment in the EU until 2030”.
During the conference M. Pyrka presented the main results of the CAKE analysis on the effect of the CBAM (Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism) on the GHG emissions in the context of more stringent EU climate policy until 2030. M. Pyrka presented also the main scenarios and sectors covered by the analysis included in the report, as well as methodology and main results of modelling concerning the impact on the production in the EU in the sectors covered by border tax and impact on prices and volumes of imports to the EU.
Presentation is available here: link.
The recording is available here: link.
On the 25 th of November 2021 during the Session 6: Multidisciplinary approaches, integrated assessment and model linkages, Jakub Boratynski oraz Jan Witajewski – Baltvilks, LIFE Climate CAKE experts had the opportunity to present a presentation on the models used in the work carried out under the LIFE Climate CAKE PL project entitled “The use of an integrated modeling approach (CGE, sectoral) to support developing long-term climate strategies up to 2050”. During the presentation, Jakub Boratyński presented in detail the principles of combining individual models used by CAKE, MEESA (energy model), d-place general equilibrium model (CGE), transport model (TR3E) and the agricultural model (EPICA). The presentation at the conference also covered some selected results concerning the EU ETS and the energy sector, as well as for sectors not covered by the ETS (the so-called non-ETS). Jan Witajewski – Baltvilks presented the results in terms of the costs of energy transformation for Poland.
Presentation is available here: link.
The recording is available here: link.
More about the conference you can find on the website: 2021 EU Conference on modelling for policy support: collaborating across disciplines to tackle key policy challenges | Knowledge for policy (europa.eu)
We reccomend you to read “How Long Will Combustion Vehicles Be Used in the Polish Transport Sector on the Pathway to Climate Neutrality?“, which was published on the 24 November 2021 at Energies 2021 (Special Issue Trends in the Development of Electric Vehicle).
Transformation of road transport sector through replacing of internal combustion vehicles with zero-emission technologies is among key challenges to achievement of climate neutrality by 2050.
In a constantly developing economy, the demand for transport services increases to ensure continuity in the supply chain and passenger mobility. Deployment of electric technologies in the road transport sector involves both businesses and households, its pace depends on the technological development of zero-emission vehicles, presence of necessary infrastructure and regulations on emission standards for new vehicles entering the market.
This study attempts to estimate how long combustion vehicles will be in use and what the state of the fleet will be in 2050. For obtainment of results the TR3E partial equilibrium model was used.
The study simulates the future fleet structure in passenger and freight transport. The results obtained for Poland for the climate neutrality (NEU) scenario show that in 2050 the share of vehicles using fossil fuels will be ca. 30% in both road passenger and freight transport.
The consequence of shifts in the structure of the fleet is the reduction of CO2 emissions ca. 80% by 2050 and increase of the transport demand for electricity and hydrogen.
The article was prepared within the Centre for Climate and Policy Analysis (CAKE) set up in the National Centre for Emission Management (KOBiZE), which is a part of the Institute of Environmental Protection—National Research Institute (IEP-NRI). It was prepared within the project: LIFE Climate CAKE PL – LIFE16 GIC/PL/000031, which is co-financed from the EU LIFE programme and from the funds of the National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management.
We reccomend you to read article focused on “The Role of BECCS in Achieving Climate Neutrality in the European Union“, which was published on the 23 November 2021 at Energies 2021.
The achievement of climate neutrality in the European Union by 2050 will not be possible solely through a reduction in fossil fuels and the development of energy generation from renewable sources. Large-scale implementation of various technologies is necessary, including bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), carbon capture and storage (CCS), and carbon capture and utilisation (CCU), as well as industrial electrification, the use of hydrogen, the expansion of electromobility, low-emission agricultural practices, and afforestation.
This research is devoted to an analysis of BECCS as a negative emissions technology (NET) and the assessment of its implementation impact upon the possibility of achieving climate neutrality in the EU. The modelling approach utilises tools developed within the LIFE Climate CAKE PL project and includes the MEESA energy model and the d-PLACE CGE economic model.
This article identifies the scope of the required investment in generation capacity and the amount of electricity production from BECCS necessary to meet the greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets in the EU, examining the technology’s impact on the overall system costs and marginal abatement costs (MACs). The modelling results confirm the key role of BECCS technology in achieving EU climate goals by 2050.
The full article is available here: https://doi.org/10.3390/en14237842
The article was prepared within the Centre for Climate and Policy Analysis (CAKE) set up in the National Centre for Emission Management (KOBiZE), which is a part of the Institute of Environmental Protection—National Research Institute (IEP-NRI). It was prepared within the project: LIFE Climate CAKE PL – LIFE16 GIC/PL/000031, which is co-financed from the EU LIFE programme and from the funds of the National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management.
We invite you to read new article “Towards Climate Neutrality in Poland by 2050: Assessment of Policy Implications in the Farm Sector” which was published on the 13 November 2021.
The article assesses the potential impacts of Poland’s climate neutrality achievement path on the domestic farm sector in terms of its structure, output, income, and prices of agricultural products. The approach is based on complex economic modelling combining computable general equilibrium (CGE) and optimisation modelling, with the farm sector model consisting of farm, structural, and market modules. While the modelling results cover three GHG emission-reduction scenarios up to 2050, to understand the transformation impact within varying policy approaches, the study for each scenario of farm sector development also outlines three policy options: carbon pricing, forced emission limit, and carbon subsidies. Results in all scenarios and policy options indicate a strong foreseeable impact on agricultural output and prices (mainly livestock production), shifts in the production structure toward crops, as well as changes in farm income along the analysed timeframe.
The article was prepared within the Centre for Climate and Policy Analysis (CAKE) set up in the National Centre for Emission Management (KOBiZE), which is a part of the Institute of Environmental Protection—National Research Institute (IEP-NRI). It was prepared within the project: LIFE Climate CAKE PL —LIFE16 GIC/PL/000031, which is co-financed from the EU LIFE programme and from the funds of the National Fund for Environmental Protection and Water Management.
Full article is available here: Energies | Free Full-Text | Towards Climate Neutrality in Poland by 2050: Assessment of Policy Implications in the Farm Sector | HTML (mdpi.com)