IRWiR PAN seminar
CAKE/KOBIZE attended in a seminar entitled “Impact of climate policy on the agricultural sector in Poland” which was held on December 2, 2024, organized by the Institute of Rural and Agricultural Development of the Polish Academy of Sciences (IRWiR PAN).
CAKE experts on modeling of the agricultural sector, Dr. Adam Wąs and Dr. Paweł Kobus, CAKE/ KOBIZE, presented ways to achieve GHG emission reduction targets in agriculture resulting from the work carried out at KOBIZE under the LIFE Climate CAKE PL and LIFE VIIEW 2050 projects. The EPICA model, built at CAKE to study the effects of reducing GHG emissions in agriculture, was used to prepare the analyses. The analyses presented indicated the potential economic effects of achieving climate neutrality in Polish agriculture in the 2050 perspective.
The results of the analysis indicate that with current production technologies, achieving ambitious reduction targets in agriculture is difficult and leads to a significant reduction in production, and consequently to an increase in the price of agricultural products and an increase in imports of agricultural products. The use of instruments to reduce GHG emissions (CRCF) in agriculture facilitates the achievement of climate policy goals and reduces its negative impact on the income situation of farmers. The choice of methods for achieving the reduction target influences the direction and scale of change in the sector, a mixed option using quota-based emission reductions combined with subsidies for voluntary reductions by farmers appears to be the most favorable alternative. The use of this approach distributes the costs of reduction jointly and severally among all market participants (farmers, taxpayers, consumers).